Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.113449 0.125798 0.138504 0.152525 0.167532 0.183085 0.200394
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.094112 0.112638 0.132704 0.155919 0.181904 0.209962 0.242416
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.083937 0.107271 0.133662 0.165393 0.202179 0.243162 0.291945
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076111 0.103095 0.134786 0.174149 0.221120 0.274784 0.340118
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.066324 0.095132 0.130222 0.175163 0.230237 0.294599 0.374540
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056458 0.085816 0.122900 0.171829 0.233323 0.306722 0.399571
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052171 0.083150 0.123441 0.177862 0.247602 0.332187 0.440663
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047785 0.079811 0.122669 0.181866 0.259126 0.354235 0.477749
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043441 0.076039 0.120909 0.184240 0.268351 0.373350 0.511313
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039145 0.071873 0.118214 0.185032 0.275291 0.389484 0.541202
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.038992 0.073836 0.124074 0.197490 0.297708 0.425551 0.596561
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036016 0.071153 0.123073 0.200322 0.307251 0.445139 0.631224
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033163 0.068607 0.122377 0.203910 0.318417 0.467735 0.671076
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029727 0.064798 0.119593 0.204427 0.325457 0.485178 0.704789
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028863 0.065249 0.123262 0.214352 0.345679 0.520370 0.762086
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028047 0.065682 0.126863 0.224217 0.365962 0.555907 0.820275
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025428 0.062578 0.124619 0.225158 0.373503 0.574270 0.855894
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022095 0.057750 0.119247 0.221055 0.373606 0.582420 0.877947
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021167 0.057435 0.121235 0.228225 0.390019 0.612974 0.930166
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.019888 0.056279 0.121709 0.232988 0.402952 0.638862 0.976366
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018397 0.054515 0.121009 0.235814 0.413017 0.660848 1.017486
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.016748 0.052214 0.119210 0.236756 0.420224 0.678871 1.053355
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017245 0.054657 0.125918 0.251590 0.448435 0.726636 1.130206